Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-28 0.360423 0.416300 0.477093 0.548031 0.628414 0.716548 0.820374
2025-10-05 0.271116 0.348810 0.441666 0.560256 0.707060 0.882160 1.106093
2025-10-12 0.227897 0.317431 0.432025 0.588178 0.793948 1.054188 1.406316
2025-10-19 0.194209 0.289118 0.417714 0.602536 0.858767 1.198436 1.679118
2025-10-26 0.166669 0.263258 0.400888 0.608137 0.908379 1.322794 1.932073
2025-11-02 0.143405 0.239204 0.382146 0.606693 0.945111 1.429344 2.165735
2025-11-09 0.123012 0.216042 0.360995 0.597858 0.968127 1.515730 2.374548
2025-11-16 0.106368 0.196165 0.341912 0.589021 0.988639 1.597931 2.580871
2025-11-23 0.090521 0.175164 0.318143 0.569404 0.989258 1.648365 2.740681
2025-11-30 0.085888 0.172991 0.325078 0.600344 1.072792 1.832286 3.118689
2025-12-07 0.074491 0.156834 0.305949 0.584691 1.077242 1.889655 3.298359
2025-12-14 0.064522 0.141900 0.287116 0.567231 1.076339 1.937059 3.463417
2025-12-21 0.056223 0.129233 0.271265 0.553987 1.082432 1.997947 3.657788
2025-12-28 0.052070 0.124502 0.269985 0.567729 1.138113 2.147616 4.013433
2026-01-04 0.049897 0.123654 0.276139 0.596101 1.222682 2.352937 4.477919
2026-01-11 0.046520 0.119641 0.275379 0.610643 1.282102 2.516951 4.879096
2026-01-18 0.042687 0.114000 0.270534 0.616313 1.324591 2.652518 5.236787
2026-01-25 0.038689 0.107346 0.262697 0.614851 1.352573 2.762467 5.553393
2026-02-01 0.034577 0.099761 0.251894 0.605909 1.364521 2.842521 5.818586
2026-02-08 0.030938 0.092790 0.241618 0.596963 1.375450 2.920817 6.084359
2026-02-15 0.027031 0.084458 0.227145 0.577107 1.361637 2.949481 6.255881
2026-02-22 0.026541 0.085358 0.234837 0.608425 1.459463 3.205270 6.883810
2026-03-01 0.023480 0.078537 0.222795 0.592580 1.453255 3.250866 7.098619